It’s easy to guess who.

A recent poll from the National Catholic Reporter shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris among Catholic voters in key battleground states. The survey, conducted by Mercury Analytics, focused on seven important states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Among the 1,172 Catholic voters surveyed, 50% indicated they would “probably” or “definitely” vote for Trump, compared to 45% for Harris. The poll, which was carried out in early October, has a margin of error of +/- 2.86%.

The data revealed demographic differences in support, with Trump enjoying strong backing from white Catholics, where he leads by 16%. On the other hand, Harris has overwhelming support from Hispanic and Black Catholic voters, leading with 67% and 77%, respectively. Younger Catholic voters (aged 18-29) slightly favored Harris, while Trump garnered more support from older Catholics, particularly those in the 50-64 age group.

The analysis pointed out that Catholic voters in these battleground states often support their preferred candidates for reasons that don’t always align with Catholic teachings. Trump supporters were drawn to his immigration policies, while Harris supporters backed her stance on reproductive rights. The Catholic vote is seen as crucial in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Catholics make up a significant portion of the population.

Trump leads overall among Catholic voters in five of the seven battleground states, with larger margins in Wisconsin and Michigan. Economic issues were the top concern for 75% of respondents, followed by immigration, healthcare, taxes, and affordable housing.

Additionally, a report from the Pew Research Center revealed that 52% of Catholics nationwide plan to vote for Trump, while 47% support Harris. The survey also showed strong support for Trump among Protestants. Harris recently faced criticism for not attending the Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner, a Catholic charitable event that presidential candidates traditionally attend.

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